Monday, January 24, 2011

forex online trading / Point and Figure Charts: an Easy Way to Recognize Trends in Forex

Author - Carl Hayes

To trade forex profitably, we need to catch trends and stick with them until they complete a healthy part of their development. While there are many indicators today available to the typical trader towards the purpose of identifying and trading trend patterns, point and figure charts stand among those for the simplicity of the signals generated and lack of clutter in the display. The strengths of the P&F chart is its simplicity. Although it may appear complicated or difficult at first sight to an inexperienced trader, in fact its laconic depiction of the market action makes it an ideal choice for trend following strategies where one would like to disregard most of the retracements, and volatility in favor of following the main momentum of the market.
A P&F chart consists of boxes and X and Os. An X indicates an uptrend, the price was rising during this period. An O indicates a period of falling prices. But unlike other kinds of charts, P&F charts do not record all the price action in a period. There are two important criteria for including any day's price movement on a P&F chart: box size and reversal amount. Box size determines the minimum amount by which the price action must move above the last trading days's close in a column of Xs (that is, in an uptrend), or below the close of the previous day in a column of Os (in a downtrend). Reversal amount determines the minimum movement when the price contradicts an ongoing trend. It is the minimum amount by which we'll need to negate a column of X's and begin a column of Os if the price goes down, and vice versa if it goes up. In other words, as long as the reversal remain less than the reversal amount in an uptrend, we'll have a column of X's, and when the same is the case in a downtrend, we'll have a column of Os. In the stock market, box size is often 1, and the retracement amount is 3.
It sounds complicated, but it really is very simple. Traders will buy or sell at reversal points. For example, when, after a period of X's the chart shows an O, it's likely that a reversal has taken place and it is time to short the market. Conversely, you may choose to jump in a trend after it emerges and keep buying and selling for as long as the main trend remains intact. Since the P&F chart only includes significant price movements, the reversals and trends indicated by it are thought to be more reliable.
The P&F chart is not exactly popular among traders, and many forex trading brokers do not include it in their standard packages. However, this does not make this tool any less efficient than others. If you favor this kind of charting in stock trading, and want to use it in forex, there's no reason to discourage you from doing so. The same rules and principles are valid, and due to the simple and uncomplicated nature of the P&F, you can even use your own hand calculations for drawing it at all times.
In order to learn to trade forex you must have the appropriate knowledge. ForexTraders.com offers free information to help educate yourself on strategies, analysis, how to choose among the many forex trading brokers and we even offer a free course!

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Sunday, January 23, 2011

forex trading online / Technical Analysis: How to Read the Price Action

Author - Carl Hayes
Regardless of the school of analysis we belong to, most of us will have few problems with the statement that the price action is all that matters to trading, ultimately, because the only determinant of our profits or losses is the price itself. We may have very sensible, well-thought justifications for our Forex analysis and Forex strategy, but if we cannot confirm them with the price action, the sad fact is that they are worthless.
Technical analysis takes this concept one step further, and claims that all that matters to trading is the price action itself. In other words, traders should disregard news events, statistics and data, along with economic and political developments, and concentrate all their attention on the price itself. This attitude is justified on the basis of the belief that the price action, created by knowledgeable and profit-hungry traders, reflects all the information available to the public at any one time, and it is futile so seek an edge over the market by trying to stay updated on all data. Not only is it impossible, technical analysts contend, but also useless, since the price already incorporates all the available information in itself according to the interpretation of the best and most powerful minds in the market. Technical analysts exhort us to study the markets, and ignore everything else, thus gaining a strong focus on the only piece of information that matters, the price.
Critics of technical analysis counter that while the price does represent the total amount of bulls and bears in the market, it doesn't reflect a consensus, and as such cannot be taken as a speaking the opinion of market participants at large. In other words, there is no such thing as a market opinion. In addition, they add, although in the short term the price action is difficult to predict, in the longer term economic events establish clear trends which can easily be anticipated and exploited through fundamental analysis. Technical analysts defend their school by positing that fundamental analysis is difficult, no more reliable than technical studies, and more time-consuming.
The tools of technical analysis are all applied on the price action as depicted on charts. Indicators are used to evaluate any price pattern to generate buy or sell signals, while price patterns are interpreted to identify the underlying momentum. Technical analysis does not claim to create error-free, concrete answers to questions in traders' minds, but it does offer to identify the scenarios where the potential for a profitable trade is greatest. A technical trader must have a mind adapted and used to dealing with probabilities, and he must be ready to take losses when they are unavoidable as well.
Let's conclude this brief study by noting that in the chaotic environment of the Forex market diligent money management methods, and emotional control are just as important, if not more important than any kind of strategy or analysis. To learn Forex, we need to preserve our capital. And money management is what teaches us how to preserve it. With patience and commitment, it is not hard to succeed in Forex, but without those two, there's no point in entertaining dreams about bathing in pools of gold and silver either. 

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Saturday, January 22, 2011

forex trade / Indicator of Forex Market Economy

Author - Manish 

All the investors in the forex market often base their decisions in trading upon economic and political news around the world. Forex and stock market depend on the countries economy. Using of industrial production index is the best way to predict the market trends in the future. All the traders are using this market indicator specially the traders who want to trader for a long time because if a country's economy is improving definitely its currency rate goes up and if the economy is decreasing, currency rate will automatically goes down.
What is Indicator?
Forex indicators are the primary and most essential tools used to determine the trend of foreign exchange and their future prospects. These tools sometimes become so important for the users to anticipate future ups and downs of the Forex market according to which, they could invest and deal their finances with foreign exchange.
There are a variety of Forex indicators available to the users of foreign exchange, which are highly advanced and avail an enhanced platform to the Forex dealers and users to deal the challenges with foreign exchange efficiently. These indicators are useful not only to the novice Forex trader, but also an experience Forex dealer as well. The two most significant indicators of them are as follows.
Moving Averages: Simple, Exponential and Weighted
Most Forex traders use Moving Average Indicators to calculate the trends in foreign exchange. This procedure can be set and interpret easily. Using this indicator, we can easily measure the average movement of the price within a particular time period. Through this indicator, the price data get smoothen with which, we can easily observe the market trend and tendencies.
Stochastic indicator
Stochastic indicator is another significant tool used as a Forex indicator by the Forex experts and dealers to estimate market trends and tendencies. The main idea suggested by this indicator is that the rising price always lies closer to its previous highs and the falling price always lies to its previous lows.

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Friday, January 21, 2011

forex online / Forex Information: How To Draw DeMark Trendlines

Author - Michael A. Jones

When searching for Forex information on the internet you are likely to find articles relating to trendlines and trendline analysis.
Tom DeMark is a specialist in the field of technical market analysis and his best-selling book "The New Science of Technical Analysis" released in 1994 spells out some innovative techniques when it comes to the use of trendlines.
Much Forex information on the internet is of a general nature, and many articles are written about Forex by individuals who are not traders themselves. Tom DeMark on the other hand has had a long career with institutions trading stocks, futures, currencies and options.
His guidelines on the use of trendlines are very specific and they can be helpful to the newer trader who is searching for reliable Forex information on how to use standard indicators.
Here is a brief step-by-step description of how to draw DeMark trendlines:
Note: The term swing high and swing low (also called cycle high and cycle low) refers to the following:
In An Uptrend: A swing high is the wick of a candle that is higher than the wick of the candle to the left and right.
In A Downtrend: A swing low is the wick of a candle that is lower than the wick of the candle to the left and right.
Obviously the more candles to the left and right that are higher in a swing low or lower in a swing high makes the swing or cycle more significant.
An uptrend is where price is making higher highs and higher lows. A downtrend is where price is making lower highs and lower lows.
Drawing DeMark Trendlines
Drawing Trendlines In An Uptrend
  1. Examine the bottoms of the candles on your chart and identify the most recent candle wick that is lower than the candle wicks to the immediate right and left of it.
  2. Look left on the chart, and identify the previous low candle that has candle wicks higher to the immediate right and left of it which is lower than the current low candle.
  3. Now draw a line from the current lowest candle to the previous lowest candle (drawing from right to left).
  4. Now take the end of the newly drawn line which stops at the current low candle and extend it forward some distance (drawing from the present position to the right).
Drawing Trendlines In A Downtrend
  1. Examine the tops of the candles on your chart and identify the most recent candle wick that is higher than the candle wicks to the immediate right and left of it.
  2. Look left on the chart, and identify the previous high candle that has candle wicks lower to the immediate right and left of it which is higher than the current high candle.
  3. Now draw a line from the current highest candle to the previous highest candle (drawing from right to left).
  4. Now take the end of the newly drawn line which stops at the current high candle and extend it forward some distance (drawing from the present position to the right).
You have now drawn a Tom DeMark trendline.
This can now be a reference point for future price action. It will often be observed that price will come and check this level. If it breaks through, it can mean a change in direction, the significance of which will depend on the time frame being used.
Trendlines drawn on 5 minute or 15 minute charts have much lesser significance than trendlines drawn on higher time frames such as the 1 hour, 4 hour, or daily.
Caution Required
Much Forex information extols the virtues of trendlines as an indicator of possible future price action.
Mr. DeMark certainly has made this a science and his detailed approach to drawing trendlines is certainly more accurate than just drawing general trendlines along the bottoms and tops of trends according to the way the eye sees.
However, trendlines in themselves do not indicate where high probability trades can be taken.
It is important to use a variety of indicators before pulling the trigger. Examining previous levels of support and resistance is probably far more significant in determining where price is likely to hesitate that watching trendlines.
However, they can be useful. If you find a key support or resistance level also coincides with a Fibonacci retracement or extension level which is also at an intersection with a trendline, then you have built a reasonably solid case for a trade.
Use this Forex information on DeMark trendlines wisely, with caution, and it can be another useful addition to the Forex day trader's toolkit! 

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Thursday, January 20, 2011

trading forex / Discover Some Magic to Beat The Forex: The Elliott Wave Theory for Forex Markets

Author - Joseph Plazo

One of the best known and least understood theories of technical analysis in forex trading is the Elliot Wave Theory. Developed in the 1920s by Ralph Nelson Elliot as a method of predicting trends in the stock market, the Elliot Wave theory applies fractal mathematics to movements in the market to make predictions based on crowd behavior. In its essence, the Elliot Wave theory states that the market — in this case, the forex market — moves in a series of 5 swings upward and 3 swings back down, repeated perpetually. But if it were that simple, everyone would be making a killing by catching the wave and riding it until just before it crashes on the shore. Obviously, there's a lot more to it.
One of the things that makes riding the Elliot Wave so tricky is timing — of all the major wave theories, it's the only one that doesn't put a time limit on the reactions and rebounds of the market. A single In fact, the theories of fractal mathematics makes it clear that there are multiple waves within waves within waves. Interpreting the data and finding the right curves and crests is a tricky process, which gives rise to the contention that you can put 20 experts on the Elliot Wave theory in one room and they will never reach an agreement on which way a stock — or in this case, a currency — is headed.
Elliot Wave Basics
* Every action is followed by a reaction. It's a standard rule of physics that applies to the crowd behavior on which the Elliot Wave theory is based. If prices drop, people will buy. When people buy, the demand increases and supply decreases driving prices back up. Nearly every system that uses trend analysis to predict the movements of the currency market is based on determining when those actions will cause reactions that make a trade profitable.
* There are five waves in the direction of the main trend followed by three corrective waves (a "5-3" move). The Elliot Wave theory is that market activity can be predicted as a series of five waves that move in one direction (the trend) followed by three 'corrective' waves that move the market back toward its starting point.
* A 5-3 move completes a cycle. And here's where the theory begins to get truly complex. Like the mirror reflecting a mirror that reflects a mirror that reflects a mirror, the each 5-3 wave is not only complete in itself, it is a superset of a smaller series of waves, and a subset of a larger set of 5-3 waves — the next principle.
* This 5-3 move then becomes two subdivisions of the next higher 5-3 wave. In Elliot Wave notation, the 5 waves that fit the trend are labeled 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 (impulses). The three correcting waves are called a, b and c (corrections). Each of these waves is made up of a 5-3 series of waves, and each of those is made up of a 5-3 series of waves. The 5-3 cycle that you're studying is an impulse and correction in the next ascending 5-3 series.
* The underlying 5-3 pattern remains constant, though the time span of each may vary. A 5-3 wave may take decades to complete — or it may be over in minutes. Traders who are successful in using the Elliot Wavy theory to trade in the currency market say that the trick is timing trades to coincide with the beginning and end of impulse 3 to minimize your risk and maximize your profit.
Because the timing of each sequence of waves varies so much, using the Elliot Wave theory is very much a matter of interpretation. Identifying the best time to enter and leave a trade is dependent on being able to see and follow the pattern of larger and smaller waves, and to know when to trade and when to get out based on the patterns you identify.
The key is in interpreting the pattern correctly — in finding the right starting point. Once you learn to see the wave patterns and identify them correctly, say those who are experts, you'll see how they apply in every facet of forex trading, and will be able to use those patterns to trigger your decisions whether you're day trading or in it for the long haul. 

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Wednesday, January 19, 2011

forex trading scams / Fibonacci Numbers — Trade For Huge Profits With This Unique Tool!

Author - Sacha Tarkovsky
The Fibonacci number sequence and golden ratio can be found throughout nature and traders such as Gann applied them to financial markets and made millions using this unique tool as part of his trading method.
The Fibonacci number sequence and golden ratio is used by many savvy traders today so let's look at how they can make huge profits in ANY financial markets.
Support and resistance levels are critical for all traders as they can help identify entry and exit points when trading.
Fibonacci percentage "retracement" levels derived from the Fibonacci number sequence and golden ratio are an innovative and useful tool for any trader, so why are they so useful.
Let's find out.
Fibonacci Numbers and Golden Ratio Applied To Trading
The Fibonacci sequence was printed in the Liber Abaci, written by Leonardo Fibonacci in 1202. It introduced Hindu-Arabic to Europe for the very first time and they replaced Roman numerals.
The Fibonacci number sequence was based around the following equation:
How many pairs of rabbits can be generated from one single pair, if each month each pair produces a new pair, which, from the second month, starts producing more rabbits?
While the Fibonacci number sequence and golden ratio was used to solve the above equation.
The result was:
It produced a number sequence that has importance throughout the natural world.
After the first few numbers in the sequence, the ratio of any number in relation to the next higher number is approximately .618, and the lower number is 1.618.
These two figures are known as the golden mean or the golden ratio.
The Golden Mean and Golden Ratio
These numbers are pleasing to the us and appear throughout biology, art, music, weather, creatures and even architecture.
Examples of natural objects based on the Golden Ratio are:
Snail shells, galaxies, hurricanes, DNA molecules, sunflowers and many more objects that occur in the natural world.
Retracement Levels
The two Fibonacci percentage retracement levels considered the most critical by traders are: 38.2% and 62.8%.
Other important retracement percentages are: 75%, 50%, and 33%.
So how can traders use them?
Well, there are three main advantages and they are:
1. Fibonacci numbers Define exit numbers
If three or more Fibonacci price levels come together, a stop loss can be placed above the area which indicates an important area of support or resistance.
Setting stop loss trades using Fibonacci retracements allows traders to set pre defined exit points, so they can exit the market if their wrong.
This means they can trade in a disciplined fashion and protect their equity, which is critical to all traders.
2. Fibonacci levels Can Define Position Size
Depending on the risk a trader wants to take on a trade Fibonacci numbers can give the size of position to be taken, in terms of risk the trader wishes to assume.
Why?
This is simply because the monetary loss from the stop for a trade is different on most positions taken in the market.
A stop close to resistance and support may mean that a bigger position than one where support or resistance is further away.
Traders can therefore decide position size within their money management parameters easily and have a pre defined exit point.
3. Fibonacci Numbers & Profit Per Trade
With Fibonacci numbers, once a pattern completes against a Fibonacci price area traders can use them to lock in profits.
This indication of how far a profit may run, enables traders to lock in profits at pre defined set levels.
The advantage of the Fibonacci number sequence is they are a predictive tool:
So, they allow traders to have specific stop loss and profit objectives in advance.
Traders can then use them to lock in more profits and cut losses to a minimum, which is essential for longer term profitability.
Gann used them for this purpose and that is why they are such a useful tool for traders
One of the keys to trading any market is discipline:
To cut losses and run profits and win over the longer term by trading without emotion.
Gann knew this and all traders who have traded know how emotions can wreck a trading plan and the Fibonacci number sequence makes a trader stay disciplined.
Do they work?
Gann understood that using Fibonacci numbers could make large profits and cut losses on his trades and he used them to amass a fortune of over $50 million.
Fibonacci numbers are useful but should be used as part of a trading plan and Gann for example did not just rely on them he had an array of innovative tools that he combined to make stunning profits.
He was one of the most successful traders of all time and his legend lives on and many savvy traders around the world still use his methods
Check them out and you may be glad you did.
Not only are they innovative, they can give you big profit potential and that's what we all want as traders. 

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Tuesday, January 18, 2011

forex robots / Gann Angles — A Unique Powerful Tool For Trading Profits

Author - Sacha Tarkovsky 

W D Gann developed technical trading systems that made him a fortune of in excess of 50 million dollars.
Gann was a trading legend and his stature is reflected in the life size portrait people see when they enter the New York Stock Exchange.
Gann Angles were one of his most effective tools so let's look at them. What do they do?
Gann angles allow you to pinpoint your entry and exit levels for bigger profit potential. Let's look at why Gann angles work.
Gann based his investment strategy on the fact that by studying the Past we can see patterns that will be reflected in the future which is true of any technical systems, but his view was unique on how these patterns occurred
Gann based his methods on the following:
1. Price, time, and range are the only three factors relevant to market movement.
2. Markets are cyclical in nature.
3. Financial price movements are geometric in design and function.
Gann believed that market movements were a reflection of human nature which is constant over time and by studying the past we can predict the future.
Gann's use of angles
Gann's used three patterns to predict market behavior in the future
1. Price study- This uses support and resistance lines, pivot points and angles.
2. Time study — This looks at historically reoccurring dates derived from natural order that Gann believed governed market movement.
3. Pattern study — This studies trends using trend lines and reversal patterns.
Using Gann angles requires practice and experience and below we have outlined tha basics that anyone using Gann angles should keep in mind.
Firstly, determine time units.
The way to determine a time unit is to study charts and look at the distances in which significant price movements occur.
Put the angles to the test and see how they perform.
The intermediate time period ( 1 — 3 months) tends to produce the highest number of accurate patterns and is the time frame to trade.
Secondly, a trader needs to determine the high or low from which to draw the Gann lines
Here you can use Fibonacci levels or pivot points to help you get an accurate picture . Gann then looked for "vibrations" or "price swings."
Finally, you need to know which pattern to use:
The most common patterns are the 1x1, the 1x2, and the 2x and are purely differences in the slope of the line.
The 1x2 is half the slope of the 1x1.
The numbers simply indicate the number of units and the slope of the line.
Traders need to look for patterns to trade.
The direction of the slope will be either down and to the right from a high point or up and to the right, if it's a low point.
Always look for repeat patterns on the charts.
Gann' theories are based upon the cyclical in nature of market movement, so the easier the patterns are to spot the more likely they will be tradable for profit.
Using Gann Angles for Trading Profits
Gann angles are a fantastic tool for predicting support and resistance levels.
Of course, many other trading methods use support and resistance lines however Gann angles add a new dimension, simply because they are diagonal.
The best Gann Formation
Will indicate a balance between time and price.
This will occur when prices move in synch with time.
This is present when the Gann angle being studied is at exactly 45 degrees.
In total there are nine different Gann angles that can be applied.
When one line is broken, the following angle will then give the next area of support or resistance.
Gann angles are just one of the tools He used to amass a fortune trading other include, the Golden ratio, Fibonacci numbers — when combined you have a powerful proven trading method.
As markets are cyclical and human nature never changes Gann's methods still apply today and are used by many savvy traders.
Gann made millions from Gann angles and the tools above study his methods further and see what they can do for your trading and you may be glad you did. 

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Monday, January 17, 2011

forex ea / Bollinger Bands

Author - Cynthia Macy 

Contracting bands warn that the market is about to trend: the bands first converge into a narrow neck, followed by a sharp price movement. The first breakout is often a false move, preceding a strong trend in the opposite direction.
A move that starts at one band normally carries through to the other, in a ranging market.
A move outside the band indicates that the trend is strong and likely to continue — unless price quickly reverses.
A trend that hugs one band signals that the trend is strong and likely to continue. Wait for divergence (when the price is flat or rising or falling, but the MACD is going in the opposite direction...the price will break out in the direction of the MACD) or a Momentum Indicator to signal the end of a trend.
I use the BB's for indication of when a breakout or breakdown is imminent. When the outside bands get very narrow, it means the price is consolidating and is getting ready for a breakout, either up or down.
At this point, it's dangerous to have a position because you don't know if it's going to break up or down. When the bands get very narrow, it's almost better to close out your old positions, even at a loss, until you see a clear direction. If you don't want to close out an old position at a loss, at least hedge it. See more about hedging later in the Advanced Day Trade Forex course.
The BB's can't tell you which direction the breakout will be, the Chaos Oscillator (MACD) and Momentum will do that, and I always trade in the direction the Momentum and Chaos (MACD) are going.
Sometimes when using the slower timeframes, I use the outer BB's as targets for my limit sell price. If the bands are really wide after a big move, I use the middle band as my limit target price.
Bollinger Bands are designed to capture the majority of price movement. When prices move beyond the upper or lower band, they are considered high (overbought) or low (oversold) on a relative basis.
More On Using Bollinger Bands:
First, the BB's can be used as I mentioned before, as price targets. If the bands are narrow, the price will be jumping up & down within the two outer bands. As mentioned before, this is not the best time to be putting on a trade, as the trading range is too narrow, unless you can make a decent quick profit in a 1 or 5 minute chart.
If the range isn't too narrow, you can ride it up and down and book pips. I only attempt this in a 1 or 5 minute timeframe using the 5/9/18/50 EMA's. Don't do it if you can't make at least 5-10 pips up and down. The danger is in whipsaws.
Most of the time, unless the bands are too narrow, you can make trades by literally bouncing off the outer bands.
This is called "The Bollinger Bounce".
When placing a trade, just set your stop at the outer BB and your price target limit sell order where the other outer band is.
If your trade rapidly approaches the limit price and all your indicators say that the price movement is just getting started & not likely to quickly reverse on you, then you should first either remove your limit price & let the price run, or, raise your limit price another 5-10 pips. Then raise your stop to either your entry point or past it, to lock in either breakeven or some profit in case the price suddenly reverses on you.
This is definitely what you should do in a price breakout. If the price keeps going up in an extended breakout, you just keep adjusting your stop upwards to lock in more profit (this is called a trailing stop, more later on this subject) and keep raising your limit also.
A Super Advanced method of using BB's is to use two sets of BB's, both with the middle band set at 18. Set one BB to a standard deviation of 3 and leave the other standard deviation at 1. This gives you 6 short term support/resistance lines to work with. Your initial stop and target are the outer bands, and your inner bands are used for your trailing stop and short term resistance and support. You can also trade off the two inner bands.
This method is very similar to using Fibonacci OR Average True Range (ATR), but is much easier to use and understand

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Sunday, January 16, 2011

forex factory / Better Understand Technical Analysis and Some Indicators

Author - Sorna Devadas 

We're focusing on technical analysis in this article with a description of some of the important indicators.
We could say, all wealthy traders use technical analysis but not all technical analysis traders are wealthy although T.A. is the most precise way of trading the Forex market. It's also useful note that fundamentals play their part in indicating whether a price will move up or down. It gives you the edge over other traders.
Technical Analysis is so powerful because of a few reasons
1) it represents numbers. All information and its impact on the market and traders is represented in a currency's price. 2) It helps to predict trends and the foreign exchange market is very 'trendy'. 3) Certain chart patterns are consistent, reliable and repeat themselves. T.A. helps us to see them.
Here's one way of putting technical analsysis into perspective (wish I had a dollar each time I said 'technical analysis'). We all know that prices move in trends. Research has shown that those that trade 'with the trend' greatly improve their chances of making a profitable trade.
Trends help you become aware of the overall market direction and often rescue us from less then profitable entry points. I attended a 2 day course costing me over $2500 AUD and the biggest thing I learned from it was the need for discipline and emotional control. The content was so basic that within the next 3 or 4 articles, I would have covered all of it. So learning the 'tools of the trade' the technical indicators and their applications will help you to diagnose what the market is doing but even then you need to expect ups and down and trade with emotional control.
Stay with the trend, follow the price.
Find the price of the currency pair. If EUR/USD is 1.4224 and moves to 1.4180 then 1.4090 then the market is in a down trend. Concern yourself only with what the market IS doing not what it might do. Listen to the markets and the indicators will backup what they are telling you.
Moving Averages. Tell you the price at a given point of time over a defined period of intervals. They are called moving because they give you the latest price while calculating the average based on the selected time measure.
They lag the market so to give you an indication of a change in trend, use a shorter average such as a 5 or 10 day moving average. By combining a shorter term and longer term M.A. you can detect a buy signal when the shorter term crosses the longer term moving average in the upward direction. Or a sell signal if it crosses in a downward direction. For example, you could use a 5 day versus a 20 day moving average or a 40 day versus a 200 day moving average. There are simple moving averages, linearly weighted which gives more importance to the recent prices or exponentially weighted. The latter is a favourite because it considers all prices in a time period but emphasizes the importance of the most recent price changes.
MACD Based on moving averages, a MACD plots the difference between a 26 exponential moving average and a 12 day exponential moving average, with a 9 day used as a trigger line. If a MACD turns positive when the market is still plummeting it could be a strong buy signal. The converse also works.
Bollinger Bands (sounds like an elastic band) Prices tend to stay between the upper and lower bands. They widen and become more narrow depending on the volatility of the market at the time. A sell signal would be when the moving average is above the Bollinger bands and vice versa for a buy signal. Some traders use it in conjunction with RSI, MACD, CCI and Rate of Change.
Fibonacci Retracement Describe cycles found throughout nature and when applied to technical analysis can find shifts in the market trends. After a climb prices often retrace a large portion sometimes all of the original move. Support and resitance levels often occur near the Fibonacci retracement levels.
RSI Relative Strength Index measures the market activity to see whether it's overbought or oversold. This is a leading indicator so helps to indicate what the market is going to do (awesome!). Ahigher RSI number indicates overbought (so expect a bearish shift) and a lower number indicates oversold.
Successful traders will generally use 3 or 4 signals to provide a more conculsive signal before entering a trade.
Always remember, "If in doubt, stay out!" . Technical analysis doesn't factor in political news, a country's economic profile or fundamental supply and demand.
Technical Analysis helps us figure out how much money to risk on a trade. How and when to enter the market and how to exit the trade for profit or to minimize loss.
I sincerely hope you find this article useful. 

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Saturday, January 15, 2011

forex scalping / Moving Averages Basics And How They Help FOREX Traders

Author - Adrian Pablo 
With Forex trading becoming a more extended and desired occupation for lots of people around the world, living with the desire of working at home and still having the ability to gain a full time income, the need for accurate trading systems and techniques has become a major necessity for all these new forex traders.
Among one of the important concepts a new forex trader should know is what a Moving Average means, how it's calculated and what its use as a trading indicator is.
Moving Average is defined as a technical indicator that shows the average value of a particular currency pair over a previously determined amount of time. This means, for example, that prices are averaged over 20 or 50 days, or 10 and 50 min depending on the time frame you are using at the moment of your trading activity.
As an averaged quantity, MA's can bee seen as a smoothed representation of the current market activity and an indicator of the major trend influencing the market behavior.
This smoothing effect of the Moving Average is very helpful when the trader is looking for getting rid of the "noise" in the price fluctuations of the currency pair he is trading at the moment and a more precise emphasis in the trend direction is required.
The basic mechanics of how Moving Averages can tell you where the forex market is moving (up or down), at the moment of your analysis is by considering two different time frame Moving Averages and plotting them on the forex chart. It is very important that one of these MA is over a shorter time period than the other one; let's say one will be over a 15 days period and the other over a 50 days period. Most trading station software available by a number of brokers will let you do this plotting and much more.
Once you have plotted the two Moving Averages, you will notice points of crossover where the shorter time period MA will cross above the longer time period MA indicating an upward trend in the market, or if the crossing is below the longer period MA that will be an indication of a down trend in the forex market.
So from this simple concept you can commence to understand the basics of confirming trends when checking your forex charts during your trading hours

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Friday, January 14, 2011

forex strategy / Forex Traders Need To Know About Crossing Currency

Author - David Mclauchlan 

Why did the currency cross the road? No this has nothing to do with the term crossing currency
Crossing currency on the Forex is one of the most profitable ways to earn money for many investors. The Forex is unlike any other type of market in the world. The foreign exchange market is extremely liquid and involves over two trillion dollars everyday. The top three currencies that are most traded on the Forex are the US dollar, the Japanese yen and the Euro. All of these currencies are traded the most out of all other forms of currency.
With the foreign exchange currency being so large, it is very liquid. Crossing currency using the Forex allows a large amount of flexibility for the trader and investor. The Forex gives the trade the ability to buy and sell currency quickly so that they are never stuck in any investment. When investors use online trading as their form of crossing currency, the trading platform can be pre-set to the preferences of the trader. If the trade is not going as expected, the platform can be set to stop the trade, allowing the trader to lose less money while using the Forex.
Learning to trade on the foreign exchange, also called the Forex, market can be both exciting and profitable. In order to trade successfully on the Forex it is essential to understand the way the market works, the terminology and the trends. Brokers and financial institutions are often the best way for traders to learn how to use the Forex for profit.
When an investor or individual wants to trade one type of currency for another, it is called exchanging currency, or crossing currency. Currency crossing is the main goal of trading on the Forex. For example, if a business or investor has US dollars and needs to trade those into Japanese yens, a broker would do this on the Forex. Many investors trade currency to make a profit. When a certain type of currency is bought at a low exchange rate, the currency can be sold once the rate increases to turn a profit.
Learning to cross currency in the Forex can be complicated. The biggest factor in trading on the Forex is having knowledge about the Forex and how it works. In addition, there are many benefits of using the Forex for trading. Crossing currency gives traders the leverage to make large profits while keeping the risk of losing capital to a minimum. In ideal conditions, an investor that puts in $500 could potentially make over $100,000.
Crossing currency also allows traders and investors to profit in rising and falling markets. This is another difference between the stock market and the foreign exchange market. With the stock market, an investor can only make money when the shares are on the rise. When there is a falling "bear" market or the stocks decline, investors cannot make money on the stock market. When crossing currency in the Forex, this is not true. This is one appealing factor of trading on the Forex. Investors can make large amounts of profits when a currency pair is either up or down. Crossing currency in the right direction can always make profits.
Another benefit of using the Forex for currency crossing, or trading is that the Forex is always open. When investing the in the stock market, the trading is limited to when the market is open. It has a definite closing time during the business week. This is not true of the foreign exchange currency. The Forex is open all the time and does not close. Traders benefit from the ability to trade twenty-four hours a day using the Internet.
Learning to trade on the Forex can be easy when new investors go through an experienced broker or financial institution. Also, there are many ways to learn how to trade on the Forex using free demo accounts available on the Internet. These websites offer valuable resources and free ways for the new investor to practice using the Forex. This is very important for those who want to learn the ins and outs of crossing currency before opening an actual account. Mini Forex accounts are also a good way for the new investor to trade currency without having the risk of a regular account. A mini account allows traders to use a smaller amount of money as their initial investment. 

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Thursday, January 13, 2011

forex indicators / Trading Trend And Ranges In Today's Forex

Author - David Mclauchlan

First what is Forex: The FOREX or Foreign Exchange market is the largest financial market in the world, with an volume of more than $1.5 trillion daily, dealing in currencies. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location, no central exchange. It operates through an electronic network of banks, corporations and individuals trading one currency for another.
When you choose to start trading in the Forex market, which is often called the foreign exchange market, you will need to know a little trading vocabulary. Learning specific terms and what they mean are essential before you even think about using real money to trade. You would never get into a pilot's seat and try to fly a plane without ever having taken flying lessons. The same goes for foreign exchange market trading. You need to be fully aware of what you are doing. This is a market that is not quickly learned, so you should never assume that once you jump into it, you will learn as you go. While some people opt to do that, they typically end up losing an adequate sum of money because they were not as prepared as they should have been. Knowing the importance of trading trends and ranges in Forex trading is very important. If you are thinking of trading in the Forex market, be sure you know what these terms mean and their implications.
Trading Trend
When price moves consistently in one direction in the Forex, a trend occurs. When the direction is higher, the trend is often called bullish. When the direction of the price is moving lower, the trend is often called bearish. These terms are relative of course. When you define a trend, you should always remember that price peaks and troughs are in the same direction. When you are dealing with a bearish trend, remember that price highs and lows are moving lower. Likewise when you are dealing with a bullish trend, they are moving higher.
Often when trends occur, it is possible to draw support lines under one that is moving higher (an uptrend). You can also often draw resistant lines above one that is moving lower (a downtrend). Once you see these lines break, it can be assumed that the trend is complete. At this point there is a possibility that the trend will begin to reverse. When it does reverse, you will need to know the pattern of what that entails.
Trend Reversal
When you hear of a trend reversal, it simply means that the direction of market prices is changing. Often you will see trend reversals following a four step pattern. Usually, this includes the market making a new high, the trend line being broken, the market making an intermediate low, and a new rally that does not match the first high. Many times you will see prices break the previous low however. You may come across terms such as Double, Triple Tops, and Bottoms, which are all trend reversal patterns. Head and shoulders patterns are also popular reversal patterns.
Trading Range
The trading range is actually a sideways chart pattern. It is often used to represent a resting period before the original trend is resumed. You may see these when you are charting trends and should know what they imply.
Often trends are very important to investors. Those who engage in trend-following are people who look at major trends and make decisions in the direction of the trend. This can be a good strategy, but you must know a great deal about trends and the market in general in order to use this technique successfully. Beginners are not usually very good at tracking trends and using trend-following techniques. One thing that you should also note is that some price movements are trendless. This means that they have no clear direction, which makes trend-following nearly impossible.
Remember, that in order to fully understand trends, you must be educated in the ways of the market and foreign exchange in general. Beginners should not rely heavily on foreign exchange market trend tracking. Once you get more experience you can begin looking into tracking more and more. However, be aware that different things affect and influence the Forex. These influences can change what people expect trends to be. Therefore, you should be a seasoned trader in order to rely on the trends and ranges alone. Educate yourself on these terms and learn to recognize them in the actual market. After all, learning the terms is one thing and being able to see them in reality is different. 

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Wednesday, January 12, 2011

forex broker reviews / Relative Strength Analysis In Forex Trading

Author - David Mclauchlan

First what is Forex: The FOREX or Foreign Exchange market is the largest financial market in the world, with an volume of more than $1.5 trillion daily, dealing in currencies. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location, no central exchange. It operates through an electronic network of banks, corporations and individuals trading one currency for another.
Analysis means: Research used to assist in predicting the direction of the markets based on technical data relating to price movements of the market, or on fundamental data such as corporate earnings.
The relative strength analysis is a technical report that allows investors and brokers to make informed decisions about trading on the Forex. The Forex, also known as the FX or foreign exchange market is the most liquid of all markets in the world. Over two trillion dollars changes hands everyday through the foreign exchange market. There are many factors that affect both the stock market and the foreign exchange market.
When investors and brokers look at the relative strength analysis, they are getting a picture of how the trends in the Forex should go. This analysis allows brokers to see current trends in the foreign exchange market and allows them to know if they are interested in buying or selling currency at any given time. This can help an investor or financial institution make educated decisions on which markets are gaining and which ones are losing.
There are many factors that affect the exchange rate in the Forex. These factors can include political events, governmental policies, inflation, and current trends in the importing and exporting business, consumer opinions and even natural disasters all over the world. The relative strength analysis looks at all of these factors. The past trends in the Forex are also taken into consideration, but are not the only thing that is looked at when forecasting this type of market.
The relative strength analysis compares all foreign currency and the exchange rates every day. The report will then be sorted by their strength rating and ranked according the previous week's rating. This report relies on at least 45 weeks of data so that sustained growth can be seen with ease. Using this analysis promises to be one of the most valuable tools of forecast the trends in the Forex. In addition, it can show the rating of stocks and rate them into which ones are the strongest. The stock market has a direct relation to the foreign exchange market because it reflects current trends in buying and selling, which will increase or decrease the value of currency.
The current trend in predicting the trends in the Forex is to use not only the relative strength analysis, but to also look at other factors such as the stock market barometers and economic factors. When investors and brokers look into all of these factors when forecasting the Forex, it makes for a highly reliable means of predicting trends. This can be the vital difference between making money and losing money on the foreign exchange market.
When using the relative strength analysis in relation to the foreign currency exchange, it is possible to tell which markets are performing well and which ones are not. The key is finding the markets and currency that are moving up on the ranking scale. It is important to remember that like stocks, the Forex is affected by a variety of factors. The relative strength analysis can help investors find which ones are good investments. This report is based mostly on a stock's closing price and the relative strength analysis is based on gains and losses. The report can calculate the markets report for any period in time.There are several benefits to using the relative strength analysis when attempting to forecast the Forex. When an investor looks at the relative strength of a certain stock, it affects the foreign exchange rate. One with a strong relative strength is ideal, but the value on these will not be low. Investors can look at a stock that is increasing in values and used the relative strength to measure whether or not this particular stock is moving up because it has a history of increasing or if it has a sustained high value. Stocks with a good relative strength over a constant, steady time period are good performers in the Forex market.

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Tuesday, January 11, 2011

forex blog / Fibonacci And The Forex Market

Author - David Mclauchlan

First what is the Forex market: The FOREX or Foreign Exchange market is the largest financial market in the world, with an volume of more than $1.5 trillion daily, dealing in currencies. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location, no central exchange. It operates through an electronic network of banks, corporations and individuals trading one currency for another.
The Forex, or foreign currency exchange, is all about money. Money from all over the world is bought, sold and traded. On the Forex, anyone can buy and sell currency and with possibly come out ahead in the end. When dealing with the foreign currency exchange, it is possible to buy the currency of one country, sell it and make a profit. For example, a broker might buy a Japanese yen when the yen to dollar ratio increases, then sell the yens and buy back American dollars for a profit.
Strategies for anticipating and capturing significant turns in stocks, stock indices and exchange-traded funds in Forex trading are known as Fibonacci strategies. Classic principles and applications of Fibonacci numbers and a trading system known as the Elliott Wave are used. Basically the idea is to calculate and predict key turning points in the markets, analyze business and economic cycles and identify profitable turning points in interest rate movement. Forex traders also benefit from the system and from Fibonacci.
Fibonacci was the name used by the Italian mathematician Leonardo Pisano from 1170 to 1250. The son of Guilielmo and a member of the Bonacci family, Fibonacci sometimes used the name Bigollo, which may mean good-for-nothing traveller. Fibonacci was a genius ahead of his day. He was a brilliant mathematician who wrote several books. He is most well known today for the sequence 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, etc, which figures prominently in what is today known as Fibonaccian mathematics, and has a quarterly scholarly journal devoted to it. Until that time the Western world had used the Roman numeral system, Fibonacci introduced the West to the modern decimal system, imported from Babylonia. The Fibonacci number sequence is studied as part of number theory and hase applications in the counting of mathematical objects such as sets, permutations and sequences, as well as in computer science.
It was Fibonacci's belief that Arabic numerals were simpler and more efficient than Roman numerals. He traveled throughout the Mediterranean world and studied under the major Arab mathematicians returning to Pisa around 1200. In the year 1202, at the age of 32,Fibonacci published his findings in The Book of Calculation. In it he showed the practical importance of this new number system by applying it to commercial accounting and to conversion of weights and measures. He also showed how to apply it to the calculation of interest, money changing, and many other applications. The book was well received and had a profound impact on European thought. Despite this, the use of decimal numbers did not become widespread until the invention of printing almost three hundred years later. Fibonacci was honored to be a guest of the Holy Roman Emperor Frederick II who was a fan of mathematics and science. In the year 1240 his city, the Republic of Pisa honored him by paying him a salary from the city.
Fibonacci's numbers are used in the run time analysis of Euclid's algorithm determining he greatest common divisor of two integers. It was also used by Yuri Matiyasevich to solve Hilbert's tenth problem. The numbers are also used in a formula about diagonals Pascal's triangle. He said that every positive integer can be written uniquely in a way as the sum of one or more distinct Fibonacci numbers and in that way the sum does not include any two consecutive numbers, which is called Zeckendorf's theorem. A sum of Fibonacci numbers that satisfies these ideas is a Zeckendorf representation
The numbers are also commonly found in nature. They have been found in the patterns of leaves, grass and flowers, and branches in bushes and trees. Fibonacci numbers can also be found in the arrangement of tines on a pine cone, in raspberry seeds and other natural sources. Genes too and enzymes often show Fibonacci patterns.
Fibonacci, known in his day and recognized as a genius, was able to see patterns that escaped others. It is only with the modern age of computers that his numbers and patterns can be utilized anywhere near what he envisioned. Fibonacci's translation of Arabic numerals, replacing the limited and bulky Roman system of numerals, is a debt the entire modern world owes to him. Serious Forex traders also owe a debt to the man from Pisa. 

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